Natalie
M Fleming

Idaho Voter Guide reported that FEC records showed $0 receipts and $0 disbursements for Fleming, with no regularly filed 2025 or 2026 reports. A June 20, 2025 committee submission had stated no financial activity, cash on hand, debts, or outstanding obligations at that time.

A Peak Insights poll of 500 likely voters showed Risch 49%, Achilles 24%, undecided 15%, none 6%, Fleming 3%, and Loesby 2%. The poll is identified as Republican-sponsored.

Fleming joined Achilles and Loesby at a forum co-hosted by the League of Women Voters, Caldwell Chamber of Commerce, and local AAUW. Incumbent Risch did not attend. Fleming called the trade conflict with Canada 'mind-boggling' and favored rolling back import taxes, argued for streamlining legal immigration pathways for workers, and said Congress should intervene in overseas military action, stating 'We have become the aggressors overseas.'

An election-information profile citing Idaho's certified general-election candidate list confirmed Fleming as an Independent candidate for U.S. Senate on the November 3, 2026 ballot.

David Roth, the Democratic candidate, withdrew from the Idaho U.S. Senate race in September 2026. The remaining challengers to incumbent Risch were reported as Independents Fleming and Achilles and Libertarian Matt Loesby.

A second Peak Insights poll of 500 likely voters, again identified as Republican-sponsored, showed Risch 52%, Achilles 18%, undecided 17%, Fleming 9%, Loesby 2%, and none 1%.

A Change Research poll fielded July 30 reported Risch 43%, Achilles 19%, undecided 18%, Roth 13%, Fleming 3%, Loesby 1%, and 2% would not vote. Sample size was not specified in the available compilation.

A Peak Insights poll of 500 likely voters, released in a memo by incumbent Republican Jim Risch's campaign, showed Risch 55%, David Roth 15%, Todd Achilles 7%, Fleming 5%, Matt Loesby 2%, and 14% undecided. The poll was Republican-sponsored.

Fleming filed her candidacy on February 25, 2026, and the Idaho Secretary of State marked the filing approved. She is running as an unaffiliated (Independent) candidate for the November 3, 2026 general election.